ROUND 1 · JOSH ALLEN
9
WOLVES RANK
Every analyst has him first. The WOLVES have him ninth.
Eight skill players return more value over replacement. The wolves take them and let Allen come back around at 1.09. You still start the best quarterback in football. That is the whole point.
ROUND 2 · JONATHAN TAYLOR
+15
Δ ECR
Analysts have him twenty-first. The WOLVES have him sixth.
Full workload. No committee. Fifteen picks of gap in round two. The consensus is sleeping. The formula is not.
ROUND 3 · DE'VON ACHANE
+21
Δ ECR
ECR has him twenty-eighth. The WOLVES have him seventh.
Miami situation undervalued. Twenty-one picks of gap in round three. The algorithm sees the opportunity. The consensus is looking elsewhere.
ROUND 4 · DERRICK HENRY
+22
Δ ECR
The market sees the age. The algorithm sees the volume.
ECR has him forty-first. The WOLVES have him nineteenth. Twenty-two picks of gap. The age and the new offense are both priced in. He is still this far underrated.
ROUND 4 · MALIK NABERS
−26
Δ ECR
The analysts love him. The WOLVES say wait.
ECR has him forty-fifth. The WOLVES have him seventy-first. Two knee procedures. Availability risk. Twenty-six picks of gap. The market is pricing the talent. The formula is pricing the reality.
ROUND 4 · BAKER MAYFIELD
−17
Δ ECR
ECR still buys the Tampa year. The WOLVES do not.
ECR has him forty-sixth. The WOLVES have him sixty-third. Seventeen picks of gap. Regression is coming. Let someone else pay for last year.
ROUND 5 · BREECE HALL
+31
Δ ECR
The Jets improved. The market has not repriced it.
ECR has him fifty-fifth. The WOLVES have him twenty-fourth. Thirty-one picks of gap sitting in round five. The offense improved. The opportunity is real.
ROUND 5 · LADD McCONKEY
−19
Δ ECR
The market loves last year's volume. The algorithm prices efficiency.
ECR has him fifty-eighth. The WOLVES have him seventy-seventh. Volume without efficiency. Nineteen picks of gap. He will still be there a round later.
ROUND 6 · CAM WARD
−54
Δ ECR
The market is drafting the narrative.
ECR has him sixty-eighth. The WOLVES have him one hundred twenty-second. Fifty-four picks of gap. The algorithm is pricing the production. The market is pricing the story.
ROUND 6 · SAM DARNOLD
−24
Δ ECR
The market has not moved on. The WOLVES have.
ECR has him sixty-ninth. The WOLVES have him ninety-third. Twenty-four picks of gap. Last year was the ceiling. New team, new problems. The formula is not paying for the ghost of Minnesota.
ROUND 7 · MIKE EVANS
−50
Δ ECR
The name is priced in. The risk is not.
Turns 33 in August. Missed nine games last year. New team, new offense. ECR has him seventy-third. The WOLVES have him one hundred twenty-third. The market is drafting the résumé.
ROUND 7 · CHRISTIAN WATSON
−51
Δ ECR
Injury history the market keeps forgiving.
ECR has him seventy-sixth. The WOLVES have him one hundred twenty-seventh. Injury prone. The market keeps paying for the speed. The algorithm prices the games he actually plays.
ROUND 7 · TYLER WARREN
+35
Δ ECR
The market is sleeping on the tight end position.
TE1 in Indianapolis. ECR has him seventy-ninth. The WOLVES have him forty-fourth. Thirty-five picks of gap. The consensus still has not priced it.
ROUND 8 · DANIEL JONES
+16
Δ ECR
A starting quarterback at ECR 86. In superflex that is mispriced by definition.
ECR has him eighty-sixth. The WOLVES have him seventieth. Sixteen picks of gap. The formula sees a starter at a position where starters are scarce.